Pokemon Let’s Go shiny odds | What are the real chances of a shiny spawn?

Published: 18/Dec/2018 5:35 Updated: 31/Dec/2018 3:51

by Paul Cot


Pokemon Let’s Go players know the basic shiny odds. In reality though, the chances of encountering a shiny Pokemon vary wildly based on variance alone. We discuss the actual percentages of finding shiny Pokemon.

Pokemon Shiny Odds

The base odds of getting a shiny in Pokemon Let’s Go can be as high as a 1 in 4,096 chance. However, with a lure, shiny charm and catch combo these odds can decrease to 1 in 273.07.

The lure, shiny charm and number of catch combos are the key factors in determining the odds of finding a shiny Pokemon variant. Different combinations of these result in odds varying between the highest and lowest stated above.

In addition to this, further factors such as location, method of movement and leaving/entering an area have been slated to impact these odds.

With that said here are the chances of spawning a shiny:

Catch Combo Shiny Rate Shiny Rate With Lure Shiny Rate with Shiny Charm Shiny Rate with Shiny Charm and Lure
0-10 1 in 4,096 1 in 2,048 1 in 1,365.3 1 in 1,024
11-20 1 in 1,024 1 in 819.2 1 in 682.6 1 in 585.14
21-30 1 in 512 1 in 455.1 1 in 409.6 1 in 372.36
31+ 1 in 341.3 1 in 315.08 1 in 292.57 1 in 273.07

However, when you enter into the equation how many Pokemon you are seeing, then time becomes an important factor. Consequently, putting yourself in a position of using the best odds above is imperative. Therefore, getting as many Pokemon to spawn as possible becomes imperative to efficient shiny hunting.

Read More: Increasing The Odds of Shiny Pokemon

Shiny Pokemon Chances – A Misconception

Some Pokemon Let’s Go players will look at these odds and think it takes x amount of spawns to see a certain shiny Pokemon. This is false. These odds are simply an average of how many Pokemon you have to see before spawning a shiny.

Further to this point, if you spawn 200 Pokemon without seeing a shiny, you are still the same number of attempts away from spawning that Pokemon as when you started.

A better way to look at the chances of spawning Shiny Pokemon in Let’s Go would be to know the number you have to spawn to have a 90% chance of seeing one. This is opposed to the 1 in x method.

Expanding on the 90% method further, this would mean that if you spawned x number of Pokemon there would be a 90% chance you’d get a shiny. Furthermore, you can apply this same logic to a 66% chance and 50% chance. These odds are shown in the table below.

  90%* 66%* 50%*
No chain, lure or charm 9,430 4,499 2,838
Lure only 4,714 2,249 1,418
Charm only 3,142 1,499 946
Charm and lure 2,356 1,124 709
Chain only 784 374 236
Chain and lure 724 345 218
Chain and charm 672 320 202
Chain, charm and lure 627 299 188

*Number of Pokemon in a sample to have x% chance of seeing it

These odds come from u/Rhynegains. Further discussion can be seen below.



Pokemon GO to celebrate series’ 25th anniversary with special Kanto event

Published: 1/Dec/2020 23:13

by Brent Koepp


According to reports, Pokemon GO is gearing up to celebrate the series’ upcoming 25th anniversary by going back to the Kanto region. The special event will be centered around the 1996 Japanese Game Boy games Red & Green.

Pokemon initially made its debut in 1996, and quickly became a worldwide phenomena. Decades later, the beloved Nintendo property has grown into an absolute juggernaut and has even become the highest-grossing media franchise of all time.

According to reports, the hit mobile title GO will honor the series upcoming 25th anniversary by going back to very first region, Kanto. The special event will have players choose between the groundbreaking Japanese RPGs Red & Green.

Photograph of Pokemon Red & Green's Game Boy box art from 1996.
Game Freak / The Pokemon Company
Pokemon GO will celebrate the series’ 25th anniversary with a special themed event based on the 1996 RPGs.

Pokemon GO’s 25th anniversary celebration

While most of the world first played Pokemon in 1998, the series originally launched in Japan two years prior with the Game Boy titles Red and Green (instead of Blue). In 2021, the the franchise will officially reach its 25th anniversary.

So far, Nintendo has been tight-lipped about how it will celebrate the epic milestone, however reports have surfaced about how GO will honor its legacy. According to popular outlet Serebii, the mobile game will be launching a special themed event based around the Kanto region.

While there aren’t a lot of details known yet, the Pokemon site further revealed it will feature an interesting in-game mechanic. “In a single day, players pick either Pokemon Red or Green and get unique spawns  and Special Research based on on what they have picked and can interact to get all Pokemon,” they wrote.

Perhaps the most interesting part is that Trainers will reportedly be able to work with friends to catch all 151 original Pokemon in a single day – which sounds absolutely wild. According to Serebii’s Joe Merrick, there is currently no date for the Gen I celebration. “This event is likely the one Niantic teased for release in February. We don’t have the date for this one yet,” he tweeted.

Serebii's Joe Merrick tweets about Pokemon GO Kanto event.

At the time of writing, there has been no official confirmation as to when Trainers can expect the event to go live. However, since it’s tied to the 25th anniversary, February 2021 is probably a safe bet.

Despite releasing over two decades ago, players still can’t get enough of Pokemon’s addicting “Gotta Catch ‘Em All” design – proof that the franchise has never been more popular.